Barack
Obama has criticized John McCain
for (once again) making factual errors with respect to the foreign
affairs of the United States, McCain's supposed strongpoint. On the
heels of confusing Shiites with Sunnis and arguing that Iran is hosting
anti-Shiite al-qaeda sympathizers (which the media now ubiquitously
refer to simply as "al-qaeda"), McCain is now asserting that US troops
are at pre-escalation (or pre-"surge") levels.
In
comments to reporters on Thursday, McCain asserted that "I can tell you
that it is succeeding. I can look you in the eye and tell you it's
succeeding. We have drawn down to pre-surge levels. Basra, Mosul and
now Sadr City are quiet and it's long and it's hard and it's tough and
there will be setbacks."
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However, as the Washington Post points out in this story:
the troop level in Iraq is at about 155,000 right now, well above the 130,000 that would mark a return to pre-surge levels.
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All
of this is true, but seems a little beside the point. The important
part of this story, in my opinion, is McCain's belief that, despite the
fact that "it's hard and it's tough and there will be setbacks," the US
occupation of Iraq is going to conclude peacefully. There
will, of course, be intervals of less violence during the course of the
occupation. People get tired of fighting, after all. However, it is
short-sighted to think that, even if violence trails off at times, that
we are headed towards an Iraq that is tangibly more peaceful than it is
today.
Indeed,
the continued American presence in Iraq is a polarizing one, and it is
polarizing Iraq in two important ways. As is often the case with
foreign interventions, the introduction of the United States into Iraq
has heightened tensions which previously were not very pronounced. The
one thing about Iraq that our government and media "knew" prior to the
invasion was that there was no such thing as Iraqis. From day one, we
have approached the country as a sectarian jigsaw puzzle composed of
Sunnis, Shiites, and Kurds. Why then would Iraqis act any differently
when articulating their needs to Americans, or to each other? People
speak to power in the discourses that are imposed upon them. Power
leaders in Iraq looking for support employ these discourses and now
Iraqi politics is largely dominated by them. The American presence has
created tensions where they did not exist beforehand.
The
second way in which the US occupation is polarizing Iraq is by dividing
Iraqis into those who work with us and those who don't. The longer we
stay in Iraq, the more complicated and difficult it will be for people
to stay neutral in this conflict. Indeed, within both Sunni and Shiite
communities, divisions have been created between those who cooperated
with the occupation authorities and those who haven't.
If
we stay in Iraq for four more years, there will certainly be quiet
periods. The months immediately following the American military
escalation of last year constitute one such period. But McCain is out
of touch if he sincerely believes that this mission is ever going to be
"accomplished." One way or another, we will leave. The question is how
much long-term damage we will have inflicted upon the Iraqi people
during the course of our occupation. In my opinion, the longer we stay
there the worse they'll be in the end; more divided, and more
embittered against one another not only with respect to sectarianism,
but also with regard to the question of who gained power (and money)
via the Americans and who didn't.
So yes, I can see that, once again, McCain appears to have
little command over even the most basic facts regarding the only policy
area he is actually supposed to know something about. But to me, the
bigger problem is that McCain sees the "setbacks" as the exceptions,
when they are clearly the rule.
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